Itabaiana vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 5
PAR
9%
20%
71%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
OSE
72%
19%
9%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
64%
23%
13%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CON
5 - 0
GUA
80%
15%
6%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 2
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
OSE
0 - 2
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
SAL
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |