Série D Brazil Temporada Regular. Jor. 11

Itabaiana vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis

Itabaiana ASA Arapiraquense
41 ELO 39
-10.1% Tilt -16.8%
3807º General ELO ranking 4110º
125º Country ELO ranking 139º
ELO win probability
49.6%
Itabaiana
25.6%
Draw
24.8%
ASA Arapiraquense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
Itabaiana
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.8%
Win probability
ASA Arapiraquense
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Itabaiana
ASA Arapiraquense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itabaiana
Itabaiana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2021
MUR
Murici
2 - 2
Itabaiana
ITA
34%
27%
39%
41 34 7 0
01 Aug. 2021
ITA
Itabaiana
1 - 2
Bahia de Feira
BAH
37%
27%
36%
42 45 3 -1
25 Jul. 2021
RFC
Retro FC
2 - 2
Itabaiana
ITA
63%
21%
16%
42 46 4 0
18 Jul. 2021
ITA
Itabaiana
1 - 2
Retro FC
RFC
37%
26%
37%
43 45 2 -1
11 Jul. 2021
BAH
Bahia de Feira
0 - 1
Itabaiana
ITA
60%
23%
18%
42 46 4 +1

Matches

ASA Arapiraquense
ASA Arapiraquense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2021
SER
Sergipe
2 - 0
ASA Arapiraquense
ASA
57%
24%
19%
40 46 6 0
01 Aug. 2021
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
0 - 1
Retro FC
RFC
35%
25%
40%
41 46 5 -1
25 Jul. 2021
BAH
Bahia de Feira
1 - 0
ASA Arapiraquense
ASA
55%
24%
21%
42 45 3 -1
18 Jul. 2021
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
1 - 1
Bahia de Feira
BAH
41%
26%
33%
42 45 3 0
11 Jul. 2021
RFC
Retro FC
3 - 3
ASA Arapiraquense
ASA
59%
23%
19%
42 46 4 0
X