Istres vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
SED
1 - 1
IST
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
IST
1 - 3
CLE
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
IST
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
IST
1 - 1
ANG
39%
30%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
ARL
3 - 0
IST
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
STR
1 - 1
MET
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
TOU
2 - 0
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
STR
1 - 0
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
VAN
1 - 1
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
STR
1 - 2
ANG
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |