Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IST
3 - 1
IST
62%
19%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
FCF
1 - 4
IST
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
IST
4 - 2
FKE
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
IST
2 - 0
RAV
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
ALN
4%
10%
86%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | -1 |
Matches
Vakhsh Bokhtar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
REG
2 - 0
VAK
66%
21%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
VAK
1 - 3
KHO
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
KHU
0 - 0
VAK
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 0
VAK
57%
24%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAK
1 - 1
REG
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |