AFC Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Istiklol Dushanbe vs Sri Pahang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
REG
0 - 0
IST
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
IST
8 - 0
XAY
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
VAK
0 - 3
IST
35%
27%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
IST
5 - 0
VAK
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
XAY
0 - 1
IST
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Pahang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TER
3 - 1
PAH
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
PAH
2 - 2
FEL
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
PAH
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
PAH
5 - 3
KEL
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SIN
4 - 2
PAH
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |