Istiklol Dushanbe vs Fayzkand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
IST
2 - 0
VAK
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CSK
0 - 0
IST
32%
22%
45%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
IST
2 - 1
IST
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
IST
5 - 1
FKE
67%
16%
17%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
IST
5 - 0
FCD
69%
16%
15%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fayzkand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FKE
1 - 0
FCF
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FCF
0 - 2
KHU
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 1
FCF
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
FCF
1 - 2
VAK
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
KHU
1 - 0
FCF
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |