İstanbul Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
4º
20º
4º
49
2º
19º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
96 | 100 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
90 | 96 |
2º
|
86.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 64 |
3º
|
91% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 59 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 58 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 53 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 53 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 53 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 52 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 50 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 48 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 46 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 43 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 43 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 41 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 38 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
34 | 37 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
|
19º
|
33 | 37 |
19º
|
35.5% | |
|
20º
|
16 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
44% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 3
IST
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
IST
0 - 0
ADA
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
IST
3 - 1
SIV
54%
23%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
IST
1 - 0
HAT
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Alanyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ANK
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 0
ALA
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 1
SAM
59%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
BJK
1 - 3
ALA
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
IST
0 - 1
ALA
31%
25%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |