OFC Nations Cup . Final

Solomon Islands vs New Zealand analysis

Solomon Islands New Zealand
45 ELO 70
-0.9% Tilt -5%
3725º General ELO ranking 1425º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
5.3%
Solomon Islands
13.4%
Draw
81.3%
New Zealand

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
Solomon Islands
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
81.3%
Win probability
New Zealand
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Solomon Islands
+103%
-6%
New Zealand

ELO progression

Solomon Islands
New Zealand
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Solomon Islands
Solomon Islands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2012
SLB
Solomon Islands
0 - 1
Tahiti
PYF
37%
25%
39%
46 48 2 0
06 Jun. 2012
NZL
New Zealand
1 - 1
Solomon Islands
SLB
85%
11%
4%
45 71 26 +1
04 Jun. 2012
FJI
Fiji
0 - 0
Solomon Islands
SLB
70%
18%
12%
45 54 9 0
02 Jun. 2012
SLB
Solomon Islands
1 - 0
Papua New Guinea
PNG
67%
19%
14%
45 35 10 0
30 Jul. 2011
VUT
Vanuatu
2 - 0
Solomon Islands
SLB
38%
25%
37%
46 42 4 -1

Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2012
NZL
New Zealand
0 - 2
New Caledonia
NCL
84%
12%
4%
71 46 25 0
06 Jun. 2012
NZL
New Zealand
1 - 1
Solomon Islands
SLB
85%
11%
4%
71 45 26 0
04 Jun. 2012
PNG
Papua New Guinea
1 - 2
New Zealand
NZL
3%
11%
86%
71 35 36 0
02 Jun. 2012
FJI
Fiji
0 - 1
New Zealand
NZL
13%
19%
69%
71 54 17 0
26 May. 2012
HND
Honduras
0 - 1
New Zealand
NZL
66%
20%
15%
70 85 15 +1
X