European U21 Championship qualifying Group I Round 9

Islandia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis

Islandia U21 Lituania U21
59 ELO 40
13.6% Tilt -8.5%
2758º General ELO ranking 7380º
18º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
84.1%
Islandia U21
11.1%
Draw
4.8%
Lituania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
Islandia U21
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.8%
Win probability
Lituania U21
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Islandia U21
+32%
-24%
Lituania U21

ELO progression

Islandia U21
Lituania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Islandia U21
Islandia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2024
ISL
Islandia U21
1 - 2
Gales U21
WAL
57%
21%
22%
60 57 3 0
06 Sep. 2024
ISL
Islandia U21
4 - 2
Dinamarca U21
DEN
25%
23%
53%
59 73 14 +1
26 Mar. 2024
CZE
República Checa U21
4 - 1
Islandia U21
ISL
61%
22%
16%
59 70 11 0
16 Nov. 2023
WAL
Gales U21
1 - 0
Islandia U21
ISL
35%
26%
39%
60 57 3 -1
17 Oct. 2023
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 1
Islandia U21
ISL
9%
18%
73%
60 39 21 0

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2024
LTU
Lituania U21
1 - 2
República Checa U21
CZE
5%
13%
82%
38 71 33 0
09 Jun. 2024
FIN
Finlandia U21
2 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
73%
17%
10%
39 55 16 -1
06 Jun. 2024
LVA
Letonia U21
1 - 1
Lituania U21
LTU
51%
24%
25%
39 44 5 0
26 Mar. 2024
DEN
Dinamarca U21
3 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
89%
8%
3%
39 73 34 0
22 Mar. 2024
WAL
Gales U21
2 - 1
Lituania U21
LTU
74%
17%
9%
39 58 19 0