Ischia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 2
ISC
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ISC
1 - 2
NUO
23%
27%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
3 - 0
ISC
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 5
MAT
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
JUS
5 - 5
ISC
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MES
0 - 5
BEN
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MES
3 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
AKR
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
76%
18%
7%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |