Irapuato vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VER
0 - 2
IRA
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 3
LAP
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TIJ
2 - 1
IRA
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
IRA
0 - 0
TIJ
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 0
TIJ
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 1
PUM
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 1
TOR
23%
25%
51%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
GUE
2 - 2
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TOR
3 - 2
PUE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
UAT
1 - 2
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |