Iranduba vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iranduba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 1
IRA
55%
21%
23%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
IRA
1 - 2
NAC
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
IRA
0 - 2
FAS
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
IRA
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
IRA
0 - 3
AFC
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
PRI
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FAS
2 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAN
27%
26%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |