Iranduba vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
57.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iranduba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
IRA
1 - 1
RIO
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
IRA
0 - 2
MAN
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 1
IRA
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
IRA
2 - 4
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -3 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 2
IRA
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 0
PEN
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
PRI
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
PEN
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAO
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |