Ipswich Wanderers vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
12º
20º
18º
33
14º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
IPS
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 2
MAL
25%
21%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
HEY
2 - 0
IPS
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
IPS
1 - 6
BRE
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
IPS
1 - 2
FEL
18%
22%
61%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 3
HEY
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
MAL
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BOW
3 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 0
ENF
33%
23%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |