Ayacucho FC vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
AUR
5 - 0
AYA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 2
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 1
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 0
AYA
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
UTC
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAM
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
SAM
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |