Ayacucho FC vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 1
AYA
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 2
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 3
SPC
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 0
AYA
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 1
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 0
MEL
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 3
MEL
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |