Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 1
AYA
24%
20%
56%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 2
AYA
27%
26%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AYA
3 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
AYA
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
UTC
1 - 3
AYA
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
ALI
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 2
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
CAN
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
ALI
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |