Interstar vs Forward analysis


26	ELO	28
2.1%	Tilt	-3%
36363º	General ELO ranking	40105º
391º	Country ELO ranking	440º
ELO win probability

34.4%

Interstar

21.7%

Draw

43.9%

Forward

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

34.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%

21.7%

Draw

0-0

2.6%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.6%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.7%

43.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Interstar

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Aug. 2018	CHI 1 - 2 INT 29% 21% 51%	24	17	7	0
19 Aug. 2018	INT 3 - 3 DAR 68% 17% 15%	24	19	5	0
12 Aug. 2018	INT 1 - 7 COL 59% 19% 22%	26	23	3	-2
09 Jun. 2018	INT 4 - 3 SER 29% 22% 50%	25	32	7	+1
02 Jun. 2018	MON 0 - 3 INT 24% 20% 56%	24	16	8	+1