Interporto vs Araguacema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
INT
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
INT
2 - 2
TOC
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TOC
0 - 0
INT
42%
26%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
INT
5 - 1
CAC
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SDS
1 - 0
INT
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Araguacema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
5 - 0
GUR
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
ARA
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
PAL
15%
19%
65%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 2
ARA
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
TOC
3 - 3
ARA
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |