Inter vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
EMP
0 - 0
INT
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
INT
3 - 1
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
PSG
1 - 0
INT
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
INT
2 - 2
LAZ
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 2
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
EMP
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 2
UDI
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAM
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |