Inter vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 1
INT
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
INT
3 - 1
VIC
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
INT
1 - 1
JUV
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
PAL
1 - 1
INT
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
ROM
0 - 2
FIO
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ROM
0 - 2
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LAZ
0 - 3
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 2
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |