Serie A . Jor. 21

Inter vs Milan analysis

Inter Milan
92 ELO 89
4.9% Tilt 5.5%
General ELO ranking 26º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
60.9%
Inter
21.1%
Draw
18%
Milan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
Inter
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18%
Win probability
Milan
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inter
+4%
+1%
Milan

Points and table prediction

Inter
Their league position
Milan
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
70
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
90
90
100%
Lazio
74
74
100%
Inter
72
72
100%
Juventus
62
72
100%
Milan
70
70
100%
Atalanta
64
64
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Fiorentina
56
56
100%
Torino
53
53
100%
Bologna
10º
52
52
10º
100%
AC Monza
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Udinese
12º
46
46
12º
100%
Sassuolo
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Empoli
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Salernitana
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Lecce
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Hellas Verona
18º
31
31
17º
0%
Spezia
17º
31
31
18º
0%
Cremonese
19º
27
27
19º
100%
Sampdoria
20º
19
19
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Inter
Milan
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Europa League
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Inter
Milan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2023
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
65%
19%
16%
92 88 4 0
28 Jan. 2023
USC
Cremonese
1 - 2
Inter
INT
10%
19%
72%
92 73 19 0
23 Jan. 2023
INT
Inter
0 - 1
Empoli
EMP
83%
12%
5%
92 78 14 0
18 Jan. 2023
ACM
Milan
0 - 3
Inter
INT
34%
24%
42%
92 90 2 0
14 Jan. 2023
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
85%
11%
4%
92 75 17 0

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
ACM
Milan
2 - 5
Sassuolo
SAS
69%
19%
12%
90 81 9 0
24 Jan. 2023
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 0
Milan
ACM
37%
25%
38%
90 87 3 0
18 Jan. 2023
ACM
Milan
0 - 3
Inter
INT
34%
24%
42%
90 92 2 0
14 Jan. 2023
LEC
Lecce
2 - 2
Milan
ACM
18%
23%
60%
91 78 13 -1
11 Jan. 2023
ACM
Milan
0 - 1
Torino
TOR
76%
16%
8%
91 82 9 0
X