Coppa Italia . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Inter vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
INT
4 - 0
BEN
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
INT
2 - 1
ACM
57%
22%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 0
INT
13%
21%
66%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
INT
2 - 0
JUV
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 2
INT
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
JUV
14%
20%
66%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
4 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOL
83%
13%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
58%
22%
20%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
INT
2 - 0
JUV
41%
24%
35%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |