Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
INT
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
INT
0 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
INT
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
INT
2 - 2
CAT
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 2
FIO
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 0
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 2
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |