Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
INT
24%
27%
50%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
INT
21%
25%
53%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
FIO
17%
24%
59%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 2
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 1
FIO
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |