Champions League . Last 16
Global 1-0
Inter vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
INT
3 - 1
UDI
78%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
INT
10%
19%
72%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
61%
21%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
USC
1 - 2
INT
10%
19%
72%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 0
RIO
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 2
FCP
46%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ACV
0 - 1
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 0
VIZ
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCP
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |