Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.8%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
SCI
2 - 1
BRA
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
SCI
11%
22%
68%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SCI
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
SCI
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ECS
3 - 1
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 1
ECS
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
AIM
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AIM
0 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |