Internacional vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
COT
0 - 3
SCI
36%
30%
34%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 3
SCI
27%
30%
42%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
53%
26%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
SCI
1 - 0
FFL
75%
15%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCI
53%
24%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
AME
1 - 0
FFL
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
GRE
1 - 3
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
AME
3 - 1
RIO
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
AME
3 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
AME
1 - 1
COT
47%
27%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +3 |