Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 4-2
Internacional vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SCI
5 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 2
SCI
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
SCI
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SCI
1 - 2
BAH
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 0
CRI
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
AMF
2 - 2
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 2
AMF
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
AMF
4 - 3
OES
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 2
AMF
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 1
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |