Instituto vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CFE
1 - 2
INS
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
SMA
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
INS
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 4
INS
18%
26%
56%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 0
SAC
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MIT
2 - 1
STM
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
STM
2 - 0
FER
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
IRV
4 - 0
STM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
STM
3 - 2
QUI
19%
27%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |