Instituto vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
INS
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 2
INS
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
INS
1 - 2
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 2
INS
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
INS
2 - 2
FER
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
GIM
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 2
IRV
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 2
FER
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
IRV
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
CAG
54%
26%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |