Instituto vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
CCS
2 - 3
INS
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
JUU
62%
23%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DAL
2 - 1
INS
31%
30%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
INS
0 - 1
JUV
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GBR
1 - 0
INS
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 0
FER
38%
32%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
CCS
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUU
0 - 0
FER
30%
30%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 3
DAL
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
FER
30%
31%
39%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |