Instituto vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
PAR
67%
22%
12%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GBR
1 - 2
INS
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
INS
1 - 0
ATT
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
SLO
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
DAL
1 - 0
INS
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 4
GBR
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ATT
2 - 1
RSA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
RSA
4 - 1
DAL
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
RSA
28%
30%
42%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
RSA
2 - 2
CCS
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |