Instituto vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1984 |
VEL
0 - 0
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
INS
2 - 2
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
ARG
2 - 0
INS
72%
17%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
INS
1 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
TEM
1 - 0
INS
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1984 |
ATL
3 - 1
HUR
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
VEL
3 - 1
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ATL
1 - 1
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
ARG
3 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
ATL
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |