Instituto vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
AND
0 - 0
INS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
CDN
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 0
INS
37%
30%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 1
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 3
FER
32%
31%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
CCS
2 - 0
ALM
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
JUU
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
DAL
1 - 0
ALM
49%
28%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
JUV
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |