Institute vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 1
INS
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
DER
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
INS
3 - 2
TOB
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
3 - 4
INS
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TOB
0 - 1
WAR
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TOB
0 - 2
LOU
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
TOB
1 - 1
DER
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 3
TOB
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
INS
3 - 2
TOB
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |