Institute vs Newtowne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
WAR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 2
INS
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
INS
3 - 1
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 1
INS
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Newtowne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NFC
3 - 2
DRO
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 0
NFC
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NFC
4 - 1
CRU
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EBE
3 - 5
NFC
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |