Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
INS
1 - 1
HAR
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LIM
2 - 1
INS
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
4 - 3
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
INS
0 - 5
DER
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
NEW
0 - 1
NEY
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AUN
4 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
9%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAN
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
3 - 1
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 3
NEW
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |