Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
INS
4 - 0
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CRU
4 - 1
INS
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GLE
4 - 2
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAN
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 4
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 2
DUN
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |