Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GLE
3 - 1
INS
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
INS
0 - 0
LOU
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 0
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
GLE
1 - 4
NEW
41%
25%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 1
CLI
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LIS
0 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |