Institute vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LAR
6 - 0
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KNO
1 - 1
INS
38%
24%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
INS
4 - 0
PSN
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LCE
3 - 3
KNO
52%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AUN
2 - 4
LCE
29%
23%
49%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
LCE
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LCE
3 - 1
BAL
40%
23%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LCE
0 - 2
ARC
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |