Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
69
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
46%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
HAR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEY
1 - 4
INS
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
INS
8 - 1
KNO
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
LOU
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NEY
0 - 2
LOU
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 1
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
LOU
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |