Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
9º
69
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
HAR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEY
1 - 4
INS
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
INS
8 - 1
KNO
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
LOU
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NEY
0 - 2
LOU
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 1
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
LOU
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |