Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
INS
1 - 3
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
LOU
1 - 3
LIN
18%
19%
63%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 1
LOU
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LOU
1 - 1
GLE
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
BAL
3 - 2
LOU
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 0
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |