Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
INS
6 - 1
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COA
1 - 1
INS
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
INS
4 - 0
DER
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 3
INS
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 2
LAR
64%
20%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LIS
3 - 6
DUN
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LIS
0 - 2
QUB
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
PSN
0 - 2
LIS
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIS
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |