Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
LOU
0 - 1
INS
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
INS
3 - 1
COL
34%
25%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
INS
3 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
LIS
1 - 1
ARD
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
5 - 2
LIS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIS
6 - 1
OMA
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |