Institute vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
42%
24%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
INS
4 - 1
LAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LIN
6 - 0
INS
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
INS
3 - 1
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LIM
1 - 0
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
LIM
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIM
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LIM
3 - 1
DUN
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LIN
3 - 2
LIM
86%
11%
4%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |