Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
56%
22%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
INS
0 - 0
DUN
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
INS
5 - 1
LOU
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
INS
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
INS
2 - 0
WAR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 1
GLE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
DER
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
GLE
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 4
GLE
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |