Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
CRU
19%
25%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
COL
3 - 1
INS
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
CLI
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 2
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 2
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 2
COL
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |