Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
NEW
5 - 0
INS
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
INS
1 - 3
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
LOU
2 - 0
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
INS
3 - 3
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 2
CLI
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 2
GLE
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
GLE
0 - 4
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
GLE
1 - 0
ARD
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |