Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 1
INS
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 4
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARD
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 1
COL
42%
26%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |